Archive: May, 2010

This is really confusing for a numbers guy…

I am about to give a talk on what I call “emotion analytics”…. because to me, I really don’t see any reason that we can’t get as systematic and effective about analyzing our feelings and emotions as we are about analyzing markets or anything else. But what is simple to me… doesn’t necessarily come easily [...]

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The Social-Emotional Context

…everything we think, feel and do is related to this. ReThinking Thinking is about analyzing these evolving contexts – and understanding that thinking is hardly just about “smarts” – that is where we go wrong. …. Wrong in risk management, wrong in analyses and definitely wrong in perceptions.

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Don’t want to be an alarmist … but

As long as we do not know what caused the flash crash, why isn’t sabotage on the table? Or, is it on the table and we don’t know it. I mean are we looking at the obvious and overlooking what we don’t want to see? Why would P&G, MMM and Accenture have relatively more erratic [...]

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The ? They Aren’t Asking about “Flash Crash”

1. Was it purposeful? 2. Were specific orders entered that would “sweep the book” in PG, MMM and Accenture? Why those stocks? 3. Why 2:40 pm? Isn’t that a suspicious time in terms of margin calls from clearing houses and expiration of limit down rules @ NYSE? 4. What kind of requirements should there be [...]

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Market Personality Change

… well I feel rather obligated to go through with my bullish ITM put spread but honestly, since I didn’t manage to get it on, I also feel a personality change in the market. For me, I sense these things through speed and rhythm and the s/r of yesterday and this morning, is striking my [...]

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Still bullish… “the trend is your friend”

Well between the margarita’s and the great NYC weather (and the garden and the dogs and …), I have yet to learn tos analytics… so my trade isn’t on. But… it is about to be (or at least I am dedicating the rest of the afternoon to the analytics part)! Yes I should be writing [...]

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